Article Abstract

Risk prediction models for hepatocellular carcinoma in different populations

Authors: Xiao Ma, Yang Yang, Hong Tu, Jing Gao, Yu-Ting Tan, Jia-Li Zheng, Freddie Bray, Yong-Bing Xiang

Abstract

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a malignant disease with limited therapeutic options due to its aggressive progression. It places heavy burden on most low and middle income countries to treat HCC patients. Nowadays accurate HCC risk predictions can help making decisions on the need for HCC surveillance and antiviral therapy. HCC risk prediction models based on major risk factors of HCC are useful and helpful in providing adequate surveillance strategies to individuals who have different risk levels. Several risk prediction models among cohorts of different populations for estimating HCC incidence have been presented recently by using simple, efficient, and ready-to-use parameters. Moreover, using predictive scoring systems to assess HCC development can provide suggestions to improve clinical and public health approaches, making them more cost-effective and effort-effective, for inducing personalized surveillance programs according to risk stratification. In this review, the features of risk prediction models of HCC across different populations were summarized, and the perspectives of HCC risk prediction models were discussed as well.

Keywords: Risk prediction models; hepatocellular carcinoma; chronic hepatitis B; chronic hepatitis C; cirrhosis; risk factors; general population; cohort study